Archive for Economics
Something Atavistic at Work
Posted by: | Comments“Los esta vendiendo a cinco la vieja chucha…”
These words of frustration, overheard earlier this week, were uttered by one of the Muni’s refuse collectors after he had sounded out the elotera on the cost of her wares.
A similar scene occurred the next day when a truck-driver, having spent several minutes trying to park his vehicle so that it wouldn’t cause a major obstruction and then having approached the elotera rubbing his hands together enthusiastically, found her steadfast in her unwillingness to offer discounts. She won’t haggle; it’s take it or leave it.
And why not, when potential customers willing to fork out cinco billetes are approaching from the four cardinal directions?
One of these is the chap we cheekily refer to as the ‘Man from Delmonte‘, who pootles around Panorama on his bicycle wearing a beige waistcoat and a Panama hat, with a large automatic pistol protruding from the rim of his brown leather riding boot.
Meanwhile, parsimonious punters can get themselves four tortillas for Q1 from Doña Mari and a chile relleno from Doña Tere for Q3.50 and still be better off by 50 centavos. (continue reading)
La Elotera
Posted by: | CommentsCome rain or shine — though mainly rain of late — the elotera positions herself on this corner every afternoon before 4pm. Her story illustrates some of the unevenness in the Guatemalan economy, which often takes surprising form.
She brings with her roughly 75 home-grown elotes in a big basket and sells as many of them as she can for Q5 each until nightfall. Now lets suppose she sells just 50 of them (though from our own observations, she rarely many leftovers), she can expect an income of Q250 every day for six days of the week, which translates into approximately Q6000 a month.
To put this in context, the entry level salary for the policemen based in the street behind her is around Q3000 pcm.
A senior accountant in Guatemala City on the other hand, will earn up to Q12,000 a month, but this entails a full day’s work and a proportion of this will be taken by the state in tax.
I doubt very much whether the SAT gets so much as a whiff of the elotera’s earnings and she is likely to be pelando la mazorca for other reasons as well: for example she flogs off the tusas and shilotes to the guy who keeps horses for the tourist carriage rides, and makes a few extra ‘pesos’ from premium products such as chuchos.
Now, let’s go back to the image above. Doesn’t she look just a little bit folorn there? Of course she does, because pity is very much… (continue reading)
Richest Men in the World…from Latin America
Posted by: | CommentsThe stock market collapse led to Bill Gates and Warren Buffet being toppled from the #1 spot on Forbes list of the world’s richest men by Carlos Slim, a Mexican. Now people are talking about a Brazilian guy, Eike Batista, more than doubling their net worth and becoming the first guy to hit $100 billion due to his discovery and ownership of the oil wells off the Brazilian coast that could place Brazil in the top 5 of all oil producers in the world.
Charlie Rose, whose patronizing interview style and tendency to pontificate irritates me, is still an effective interviewer and occasionally asks good questions. He did an interview with Mr. Batista who is as impressive as any billionaire I’ve heard talk. He shares some fascinating stories about doing business in Russia, Greece and Latin America, and shares some great factoids, e.g., Brazil’s credit rating is better than Germany’s. Check it out!
Understanding the Global Economic Risks Ahead
Posted by: | CommentsOr, MacroEconomics 101 (Must watching for you libs)
Worse Even than Guatemala
Posted by: | CommentsThe sovereign debt crisis in Europe is growing. Greece remains paralyzed because it is unable to make the tough decisions that would assure other nations and the World Bank that it can better manage its budget. Like anyone with an addiction, Greek politicians blame someone else, viz., Germany (for not bailing them out).
Now Spain, with an economy four times the size of Greece, has been downgraded. And Portugal is a worse credit risk than Lebanon or Guatemala.
To put things in perspective, public debt is about 15% of Guatemala’s GDP, but over 100% of Greece. While first world nations will dig the hole deeper, printing money in order to subsidize irresponsible public spending, poor developing nations like Guate-who can’t borrow much-will be forced to make responsible decisions. Where do you think the future is?
Some Insight Into Detroit’s Problems
Posted by: | CommentsOne of the things I’ve noticed here in Guate is the aggressive consumerism. A thirty year-old may be living with his mother because he can’t afford to live on his own or because he doesn’t have a job but he’s desperate for $90 authentic RayBans from Miami or the latest $65 designer jeans. So many young people here are into whatever is shiny, it reminds me of Detroit.
I came across this story about how car dealers are working through churches to sell cars, and one quote in particular struck me as hilarious, and pathetic at the same time:
“It’s a beautiful car,” the 38-year-old Detroit resident said. “I love it. When I get a job, I might get one.”
Green shoots and all….
Solving the Housing Crisis in the US
Posted by: | CommentsIn some parts of the US, the housing crisis is severe. In Detroit you can buy a house for just pennies on the dollar. Of course, that begs the question, “Who wants to live in Detroit?”, but I have a solution.
Around the world there are hard-working, educated people who want to come to the United States. Our absurd and poorly managed immigration policies often provide these people with no opportunity. Similarly, there are many people in the US whose illegal status prevents them from fully integrating into US culture.
Here’s the Don Marco solution to the housing crisis:
a) The federal government should award citizenship to any foreigner who wants to buy a house that has been foreclosed so long as they pay cash. There might be a minimum home value established, such as $50,000 (which will buy a really nice house in Detroit these days). They must submit to a health review, should be able to pass a US civics exam and should not be wanted for a serious crime in their home country.
b) Millions of immigrants, some already in the US, will line up to buy these houses and secure their part of the ‘American dream’.
c) Banks will unload tremendous amounts of toxic assets; the Fed’s balance sheet will improve dramatically as well.
d) Tax revenues will rise dramatically as cities and states begin collecting taxes again that have gone unpaid, or were paid at much lower rates. Federal revenues will rise as these immigrants plug into the income tax system.
e) Neighborhoods will be revitalized as they are transformed from abandoned ghettos to busy communities full of industrious immigrants.
f) The resulting population shift will generate jobs and business opportunities, furthering the economic cycle.
But it will never happen. Why? Because it makes too much sense. Besides, the morons that gave us Cash for Clunkers are too busy nationalizing health care to be bothered with macroeconomics and/or immigration policy.


















