Archive for swine flu
How to Avoid Infection with H1N1/FNASF
Posted by: | CommentsFor months I’ve been advising readers how to prevent onset of H1N1/FNASF through regular doses of whiskey and Vitamin C. To date I can tell you that no one who has strictly adhered to this regimen has been diagnosed with H1N1/FNASF.
Apparently the efficacy of this approach has gained international attention as the Russians have jumped on board:
Russian soccer fans have been told to drink whiskey on their trip to Wales for next month’s World Cup qualifier to ward off the H1N1 swine flu virus, the head of the country’s supporter association (VOB) said Monday.
“We urge our fans to drink a lot of Welsh whiskey as a form of disinfection,” VOB head Alexander Shprygin told Reuters.
“That should cure all symptoms of the disease.”
GuateTourism Holding Strong
Posted by: | CommentsI’ve gotten a great feel for Antigua & Atitlan by visiting with business owners over the last few months. Good entrepreneurs have their finger on the pulse of a community and can track things not just with spreadsheets but with anecdotal evidence.
What I’ve learned here wouldn’t surprise any experienced businessman, viz., the businesses with strong management, good market niches and a well-executed marketing plan aren’t suffering like those who lack in one of these key areas. For example, while some long-time businesses in town are off 50% from this time last year, other businesses are off by a fraction of that, or even flat. Newer businesses, still in a growth phase, are still growing, although perhaps less than the 20% annual rate they experienced last year.
I hadn’t seen any actual figures until I ran across this blog entry, which indicates Guatemala’s tourism numbers are actually up 4% over last year. When you consider H1N1/FNASF, the economic crisis and the constant bad news about this country, it’s pretty incredible, and reinforces for me how Antigua is unique as a destination (and place to live).
H1N1/FNASF Update
Posted by: | CommentsSome of you have emailed and asked for an update on the H1N1 situation here. I apologize for not getting back to you, but I’ve been swamped recently by the growth of the blog and my business ventures here.
I’ve encountered lots of people sick with cold or flu-like symptoms; people continue to say this is normal for this time of year. School seems to be back in session as of 1 July; I say this with no official knowledge, just my observation that the streets are once again overwhelmed by chubby girls in plaid skirts and boys with bizarre looking hairdos around lunch time.
I have now seen a total of 3 blue masks and 4 white masks; 1 on a security guard at the Western Union office, 3 on Asian tourists, and four on children under the age of 10.
This site appears credible and reports 286 total cases in Guatemala.
CDC: 1 Million Americans Have H1N1/FNASF
Posted by: | CommentsI’m no epidemiologist (although a friend of mine is one in real life), and as I’ve mentioned before, the likely swine flu infections here are probably far greater than what is being reported. The CDC explains how this is the case in the US:
At least 1 million Americans have now contracted the novel H1N1 influenza, according to mathematical models prepared by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, while data from the field indicates that the virus is continuing to spread even though the normal flu season is over and that an increasing proportion of victims are being hospitalized.
But Lyn Finelli, a flu surveillance official with CDC, told a vaccine advisory committee meeting in Atlanta today that standard models of viral spread indicate that many times that number have been infected. Although 1 million seems like a high number, between 15 million and 60 million Americans are infected by the influenza virus during a normal flu season.
At least 3,065 of those infected in this country have been hospitalized and 127 have died. The very young are most likely to be infected, Finelli said, but older patients seem to suffer more. The average age of swine flu victims is 12, the average age of hospitalized patients is 20 and the average age of those who have died is 37, she said.
The normal seasonal flu virus has virtually disappeared from this country, as would be expected. But the novel H1N1 virus is continuing to spread, and now accounts for 98% of all cases.
Here in Guate, the second ‘first death from H1N1‘ has been declared. Reuters reports he was 35 and from southeastern Guatemala and didn’t seek treatment until his symptoms were advanced. Odds are pretty good, IMO, dozens if not hundreds of these guys are wandering around Guate at death’s door. As for Antigua, the schools remain closed and I observed yesterday only the second mask I’ve seen yet since the first news story on H1N1/FNASF.
H1N1/FNASF Update
Posted by: | CommentsLa Prensa is reporting 55 new cases in Guatemala in the last 24 hours, bringing the total to 208. The only death so far is the one kid I referred to earlier, who it has no w been confirmed was already suffering from kidney disease.
This article says the national health ministry has 3,500 doses of Tamiflu ready, which at the rate they are using will be depleted in two weeks.It also says almost all the cases are in the capital or Esquintla. Friends who have crossed the border at Tapachula (Mexico), recently tell me there are no procedures in place to check people for symptoms. Leads one to wonder whether the efforts at the airport in the capital are just for show.
I have heard nothing more about the case here in Antigua, except that all the schools are closed. The tourist population has swelled in the last two weeks, and I have seen only one person with a mask on; an Asian tourist. You can buy the masks in the bodegona or the pharmacies, and they are well stocked (why shouldn’t they be, no one is wearing them).
There do seem to be a lot of people ‘under the weather’ here. Cold/flu symptoms are not rare, and locals tell me it is not unusual for people to get sick this time of the year. Our family is fine, except the parasite that has apparently taken up residence in the gut of a few of the kids, testing the limits of the plumbing…
First H1N1/FNASF Death in Guate
Posted by: | CommentsWhy did my ‘Guatemala’ RSS feed pickup a report from the Phillipines and not Guatemala City? Who knows:
A 12-year-old boy has become Guatemala’s first fatality linked to swine flu, officials said, as the number of confirmed cases in the country rose by eight to 74.
Health Minister Celso Cerezo said late Wednesday the boy had been placed in a private hospital where a diagnosis showed he died from kidney failure, although it also confirmed he was stricken with A(H1N1), the virus threatening to spread to global pandemic status.
Update: Maya Paradise has the details of the declaration of global pandemic by the WHO.
H1N1 (Formerly Known as Swine Flu) Hits Antigua
Posted by: | CommentsA local blogger (who has asked to remain anonymous) informed me last night that Antigua has its first case of H1N1 (Formerly Known as Swine Flu=FNASF). Apparently a child from a private school on the north end of town was diagnosed as having H1N1/FNASF.
Interestingly, yours truly was on this very street just two weeks ago, caught in a mob of children just released from school. At the time I was worried only about getting through the mob to my destination (with the aforementioned blogger). As it turns out, perhaps I should have been wearing one of those full-body chemical suits.
Dear readers, don’t worry; as those of you who have had the opportunity to meet me in person already know, I am committed to maintaining my preventive daily vitamin & alcohol combination to prevent the onset of H1N1.
According to some sources, there are now 23 cases in the country. I suspect that number is off by about 90%, for reasons I’ve explained before. I expect full-on panic to grip this place shortly. Anyone who dies and had a fever, cough or lethargy will likely be the cause of widespread rumors. I’ll try to keep a running count of the of the blue masks I see around town.
Even more disturbing, Maid #3 arrived today distraught and had a very serious conversation with my Wife about the dangers of the flu, and said that groups of medical professionals were going through the neighborhoods and vaccinating people. She urged us to have the children vaccinated.
Of course, I’m not going to have my kids vaccinated. Ask an epidemiologist about the mortality rates when introducing new vaccinations and compare that to the mortality rates of H1N1/FNASF and you’ll understand why.
No, I’m not linking to those studies for you because my head hurts, I’m experiencing chills and all I want to do is sleep.
H1N1 (aka Swine Flu, but it’s not really) Update
Posted by: | CommentsFrom MayaParadise:
The Minister of Health, Celso Cerezo, has reported two more cases of influenza A (H1N1), bringing the total number of infected to 14.
You can read the entire report here. This is the first real update I’ve seen in a few weeks, and what I really want to know is how many of the infected persons are female. You will recall that when the first three cases were reported, all were female.
Now, men-haters, relax for a moment. It’s not that I think that women are getting sick and men not because the former are the weaker sex, or because I hate/fear women, or because I have some need to oppress someone (I have my the Wife and children for that, after all), but because I’m pretty sure men are reluctant to go to the doctor and especially in the third world, are more likely to die of something than ever see a Doctor. If your symptoms are remarkably similar to the normal seasonal flu, and you don’t have the money for a doctor, and you can’t afford to miss work anyway, why seek a diagnosis? You work until you’re dead, and then they bury you and blame some standby cause, such as the Northern Imperialists.
Mark’s Prescription for health: Wash your hands frequently, take lots of Vitamin C, avoid people who are coughing up bloody substances, or have the shakes, or are sweating profusely next to you in Church (they need an exorcism, not Tamiflu anyway), stop rubbing cheeks with everyone you meet, etc. If you feel something coming on, gargle and swallow several shots of high-proof alcohol; nothing can survive that.


















